When to Hire Your First Employee — And the Data Most Solo Founders Ignore
Most advice about the first hire answers the wrong question. It tells you who to hire — an engineer, a generalist, a contractor first. Or it hands you a feeling: you’ll know it’s time when you’re drowning. Neither is decision-grade. “You’ll know” is not a number, and the person who feels most like drowning is often the worst person to be making a hiring call. The question that actually has data behind it is narrower: what predicts whether the hire works out? And the honest answer, from the two best datasets available, is not timing. ...